Nigerian equities lose N228b as China crisis goes global

Global stock markets yesterday took a major plunge after China suffered its worst trading session in eight years.

Nigeria

An unprecedented collapse in Chinese shares sent tremors through financial markets, triggering the ugliest day of global trading since the depths of the financial crisis eight years ago.

Billions were wiped off indices across the world in a day of frenetic selling, which saw the Shanghai composite suffer an 8.5 per cent decline, its worst one-day performance since 2007. The mass panic, dubbed “Black Monday” by China’s official state news agency, was driven by investors’ dashed hopes that Beijing would inject a fresh round of stimulus into its economy following a series of disappointing data last week.

In Nigeria, after losing N283 billion last week, equities opened this week with a whooping loss of N228 billion in the five-hour trading session. Average decline stood at 2.22 per cent as relatively higher losses by 46 stocks, including the market’s largest stocks, overwhelmed modest gains by nine stocks.

The opening downtrend pushed the negative average year-to-date return at the Nigerian stock market to -15.71 per cent. The negative market position appeared to be increasing, unnerving the more optimistic investors, lowering demand and increasing open-order supply, which has virtually turned the market into a discount window.

Analysts were negative on the market’s outlook in the short-term, although there was almost unanimity on the good prospects of Nigerian equities in the medium to long terms.

“We anticipate another round of bearish trading at tomorrow`s session (today) as there are no catalysts in the horizon to spur positive sentiments. The tumbling in global oil prices at the international markets may also be taking its toll on the market,” SCM Capital, formerly Sterling Capital Markets, stated in a post-trading review.

Aggregate market value of all quoted companies on the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) almost dropped below its psychological N10 trillion position to close at N10.013 trillion as against its opening value of N10.241 trillion, representing a loss of N228 billion or 2.22 per cent.

The All Share Index (ASI), the common value-based index that tracks prices of all quoted equities, shrank to 29,214.13 points as against its opening index of 29,878.33 points, a day-on-day decline of 2.22 per cent.

China’s benchmark index has now lost all of its yearly gains after a relentless ascent that saw its valuation rise to record levels earlier this year. Asian markets crashed on the news, with Japan’s Nikkei closing down 4.5 per cent and entering official “correction” territory. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng sanki 5.2 per cent, its steepest sell-off in 30 years.

Emerging markets, most exposed to a waning Chinese economy, saw their currencies continue an abysmal summer rout. Russia’s rouble fell to an all-time low of 70.74 to the dollar, despite desperate attempts by the Kremlin to prop up its value.

Contagion quickly spread west, decimating European indices, which all suffered record post-crisis losses. The FTSE 100 dropped 4.7 per cent, wiping £74 billion off its market capitalisation and capping its worst one-day performance since March 2009.

The index staged a minor rebound, having lost more than £55 billion in the first two hours of morning trading. Britain’s benchmark index has now collapsed by 17 per cent since hitting a high of 7,104 in April and is slipping towards official bear market territory, defined as a 20 per cent decline from its peak.

Europe’s FTSE EuroFirst300 stocks endured a 5.6pc loss that erased €450bn from the continent’s biggest companies. Italian stocks led the falls, down 6pc, while France’s CAC 40 suffered a 5.4pc decline, closing at 4383.46. Germany’s DAX also entered correction territory, bleeding 4.7pc.

“Stock markets are falling apart at the seams,” said Jasper Lawler at CMC Markets.

“There was one point today when there just seemed to be no buyers and markets just went into freefall.”

Fears soon engulfed Wall Street, where the Dow Jones lost 1,000 points, minutes after the opening bell. Pre-market futures trading in the Dow and the S&P 500 had to be suspended as investors became embroiled in a manic sell-off. The Dow later rallied to fall by 2.6 per cent in New York’s afternoon trading.

A key measure of US equity volatility, the CBOE Volatility Index, or VIX, shot above the 50 mark for the first time since 2009 before dropping back to 33 as US investors turned their focus back to domestic US issues.

“With those markets closed, it’s now focused more on US fundamentals. The US economy remains relatively strong compared to others around the world,” said Peter Jankovskis, co-chief investment officer at OakBrook Investments LLC in Lisle, Illinois.

The Dow Jones industrial average was down 346.07 points, or 2.10 percent, at 16,113.68. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index was down 47.72 points, or 2.42 percent, at 1,923.17. The Nasdaq Composite Index was down 94.91 points, or 2.02 percent, at 4,611.13.

Oil prices also recovered somewhat after plunging to six-and-a-half year lows. Safe-haven US government and German bonds, as well as the yen and the euro, rallied as currency concerns kicked in due to China’s recent currency devaluation.

US crude was last down 3.7 per cent at about $38.95 a barrel after falling as low as $37.75 earlier in the day and Brent was off 4.2 percent at $43.57 after falling as low as $42.51 to take it under January’s lows for the first time. Worries about weaker demand from normally resource-hungry China added to global supply glut concerns.

The S&P’s energy index was the weakest performer with a 2.9 per cent decline in afternoon trading.

With serious doubts emerging about the likelihood of a US interest rate rise this year, the dollar was down 1.5 per cent against other major currencies after falling as much as 2.5 per cent earlier in the day.

MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan fell 5.4 per cent to a more than three-year low. Tokyo’s Nikkei ended down 4.6 per cent and Australian and Indonesian shares hit two-year troughs.

London’s FTSE 100, with its large number of global miners and oil firms, ended down 4.7 per cent for its 10th straight decline – its worst run since 2003. The MSCI all world stock index was off three per cent.

Nigerian equities lose N228b as China crisis goes global